Author Archives: Nur Ain Shahrier

When Banks and Insurers Move Together: Why Systemic Risk Lives in the Tails?

Why bank–insurance linkages matter more than ever? The global financial system no longer operates in silos. Over the past two decades, a significant convergence has occurred: banks have expanded into insurance and asset management, while insurers have deepened their presence in capital markets through corporate bonds, private equity, derivatives, and structured products (Bernardi & Petrella, […]

Not All Fiscal Cuts Are Created Equal: Why Fiscal Multipliers Matter for Central Banks?

1. Introduction: Why Fiscal Multipliers Matter for Central Banks? As of September 2025, global public debt soared to $251 trillion, roughly 235% of world GDP (IMF, 2025). Across Asia, governments are under pressure to tighten their budgets to ensure debt sustainability. However, for central banks charged with safeguarding economic and price stability, how those fiscal […]